Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.001615 0.001717 0.001822 0.001939 0.002066 0.002198 0.002348
2025-02-09 0.001486 0.001632 0.001790 0.001972 0.002178 0.002405 0.002673
2025-02-16 0.001429 0.001610 0.001811 0.002052 0.002335 0.002656 0.003053
2025-02-23 0.001342 0.001543 0.001771 0.002052 0.002390 0.002787 0.003293
2025-03-02 0.001240 0.001448 0.001689 0.001993 0.002367 0.002818 0.003408
2025-03-09 0.001163 0.001377 0.001630 0.001954 0.002362 0.002864 0.003539
2025-03-16 0.001113 0.001335 0.001602 0.001950 0.002397 0.002960 0.003734
2025-03-23 0.001060 0.001286 0.001562 0.001927 0.002405 0.003018 0.003881
2025-03-30 0.001018 0.001248 0.001533 0.001916 0.002425 0.003092 0.004049
2025-04-06 0.000973 0.001204 0.001494 0.001889 0.002423 0.003133 0.004173
2025-04-13 0.000928 0.001159 0.001452 0.001855 0.002408 0.003155 0.004269
2025-04-20 0.000874 0.001099 0.001387 0.001788 0.002344 0.003105 0.004258
2025-04-27 0.000862 0.001097 0.001402 0.001834 0.002446 0.003301 0.004630
2025-05-04 0.000844 0.001087 0.001405 0.001864 0.002526 0.003472 0.004979
2025-05-11 0.000844 0.001099 0.001439 0.001939 0.002674 0.003749 0.005511
2025-05-18 0.000817 0.001074 0.001422 0.001938 0.002710 0.003862 0.005792
2025-05-25 0.000775 0.001026 0.001368 0.001883 0.002663 0.003842 0.005856
2025-06-01 0.000742 0.000989 0.001329 0.001847 0.002641 0.003861 0.005982
2025-06-08 0.000720 0.000968 0.001313 0.001843 0.002668 0.003958 0.006246
2025-06-15 0.000695 0.000941 0.001286 0.001822 0.002667 0.004007 0.006431
2025-06-22 0.000675 0.000920 0.001266 0.001812 0.002682 0.004083 0.006666
2025-06-29 0.000652 0.000893 0.001239 0.001787 0.002672 0.004117 0.006828
2025-07-06 0.000628 0.000865 0.001207 0.001755 0.002649 0.004127 0.006945